Tesla SpaceX Merger Odds Reach 56% by May 2027 as Both…
By Tobi Opeyemi Amure
AI summary of the source article
Kalshi prediction market traders price a Tesla and SpaceX merger at 56% by May 2027, with market volume reaching $1.67 million. While Barclays suggested a potential announcement before December, no formal merger agreements or regulatory filings exist.
Key facts
- Kalshi contracts price a Tesla-SpaceX merger at 11% before November and 56% before May 2027.
- SpaceX is valued at $2.01 trillion compared to Tesla's $1.46 trillion, though no formal merger process has been filed.
- Barclays outlined an all-stock deal structure that would leave Elon Musk with 37% of combined equity and 56% of voting power.
Source excerpt · FinanceFeeds
Kalshi traders put a Tesla SpaceX merger at 56% before May 2027 and only 11% before the end of this month, and both companies report earnings inside the next 48 hours. The market has taken about $1.67 million in volume and did most of its repricing in the week of 13 October, after Barclays raised the prospect of an announcement within weeks. Scale is what has turned a recurring piece of speculatio…