Predicción del precio del oro: spot en $4.123,20, alza de…
By Tobi Opeyemi Amure
AI summary of the source article
Spot gold traded at $4,123.20 on October 8, 2026, amid rising pressures from a 5.28% 10-year Treasury yield, Brent crude above $105, and expected Federal Reserve rate hikes. Projections for gold by December 31, 2026, outline a base case of $4,260, a bull case of $4,400, and a bear case of $3,870. Federal Reserve minutes revealed that rising yields reflect both monetary policy expectations and a term premium driven by geopolitical concerns, Treasury buyback uncertainty, and heavy debt issuance for AI infrastructure. Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted that futures markets price an 85% probability of a rate hike by December.
Why it matters
Rising benchmark Treasury yields and potential Fed rate hikes increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while energy-driven inflation provides countervailing support.
Key facts
- Spot gold traded at $4,123.20 on Kitco, while Binance's PAX Gold token closed at a nine-week low of $4,120.20.
- The 10-year Treasury nominal yield reached 5.28% on October 7, with the real yield standing at 2.92%.
- Fed Governor Christopher Waller highlighted that futures markets assign an 85% probability to at least one rate hike by December.