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Brent Crude Price Week Ahead: Bull and Bear Case From…

By Tobi Opeyemi Amure

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AI summary of the source article

Brent crude's December contract finished the week up 2.4 percent at $104.72 a barrel, following a weekly range between $97.06 and $105.92. Prices rose sharply mid-week on speculation of US military action against Iran, before pulling back when strikes were ruled out prior to the midterms. However, an ongoing naval blockade and the shut-in of roughly 511,000 barrels per day in the Gulf of Mexico due to Storm Isaias established a price floor. Anticipating continued inventory deficits, the EIA raised its fourth-quarter Brent forecast to about $105 per barrel.

Why it matters

Crude oil volatility and supply constraints directly impact global energy costs and headline inflation metrics ahead of key US CPI releases.

Key facts

  • Brent crude's December contract settled at $104.72 per barrel, posting a weekly range between $97.06 and $105.92.
  • Storm Isaias shut in approximately 511,000 barrels a day of offshore output, about 25 percent of Gulf of Mexico production.
  • The EIA raised its fourth-quarter Brent forecast to about $105 in its October Short-Term Energy Outlook.